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2023 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance
NFL Betting Picks: 65-61-9 ATS (53%), -3% ROI “If there weren’t luck involved, I would win every time.” - Phil Hellmuth, Professional...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 24, 202313 min read
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2023 NFL Super Bowl LVIII Betting Picks Guide—San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Super Bowl Betting Pick: 49ers vs. Chiefs +2 We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs to hoist the Lombardi trophy when the dust settles...
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 4, 20243 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Backing Modest Favorites to Make it to the Divisional Round
We are siding with the Philadelphia Eagles for the win at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wildcard Round of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 15, 20241 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—A Strategy for Wildcard Round Totals
We detail herein a historically profitable angle that guides O/U betting for the Wildcard Round of the NFL Playoffs.
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 13, 20242 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Taking a Side ATS on Browns @ Texans
In our first betting pick of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, we are backing the Houston Texans for the underdog cover versus the Cleveland Browns
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 12, 20242 min read
2023 NFL Week 18 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
In 2023 regular season finale action, our NFL betting picks include playing UNDERs in Baltimore, MD, East Rutherford, NJ and Foxborough, MA
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 2, 20243 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action
Our NFL 2023 week 17 betting picks line-up includes a play on the OVER when the Bengals face the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 31, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Identifying Undeserving Big Favorites
Our 2023 week 17 NFL betting picks include fading the Eagles vs. the Cardinals. Philly's recent struggles imply 12 is too much chalk to lay
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 30, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Fading the Biggest Wins
Our 2023 NFL week 17 betting picks include a play on the Seattle Seahawks for the cover as hosts to the Pittsburgh Steelers...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 30, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best
Our 2023 week 17 NFL Sunday betting picks include backing the 4-10-1 ATS New Orleans Saints against the 10-5 ATS Tampa Bay Buccaneers...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 30, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—A High Conviction Teaser Opportunity
In 2023 NFL week 17, we are teasing (by six) the Cleveland Browns vs. the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills vs. the New England Patriots
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 27, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion
We're betting on the New York Jets, and their 4th starting QB this year, to cover at the Cleveland Browns, the best home team in the NFL ATS
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 26, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Fading Big MNF Chalk
Our 2023 week 16 NFL betting picks include a flyer on the Raiders to beat the number at the Chiefs, in this Christmas Day AFC West shhowdown
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 25, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
Our 2023 NFL week 16 betting picks include a play on the total for the Christmas Day AFC West showdown featuring the Raiders at the Chiefs
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 25, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action
In weeks 1-9, the UNDER was a dominant 83-52 (61%). Since that point (through the first three games of week 16), the OVER is 48-43 (53%)....
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 24, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons
NFL Betting Pick: Arizona Cardinals +4 at Chicago Bears After losing versus the Niners in a 29-45 barn-burner last week, the Cardinals...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 24, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings
Our 2023 NFL week 16 betting picks include plays on the Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers & New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 24, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best
In 2023 NFL week 12 action, we are backing a couple of underdogs with losing records against the spread, versus very bettor-friendly teams
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 26, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—The Mile High Disadvantage
We detail herein our basis for backing the Browns, led by replcement QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, at the Broncos in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 25, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Low
A signal from a reliable system compels us to back the Carolina Panthers as road dogs at the Tennessee Titans in 2023 NFL week 12 action...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 25, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings
We detail herein our rationale for backing the New York Jets as home dogs versus the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 24, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
We detail our rationale for backing the UNDER when the Tim Boyle-led New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 24, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 11 Betting Picks Guide—UNDERs in Division Play with Big Numbers
We are backing the UNDER in 2023 week 11 NFL Thursday Night Football action featuring the Cincinnati Bengals at the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 16, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
Our 2023 NFL week 10 betting picks include plays on the Patriots, Saints and New York Giants, powered by triggers from a history-based angle
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 9, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Bad Vs. Bad
Kicking off our week 10 2023 NFL betting picks by taking a side on Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (Bears' Justin Fields still sidelined)
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 9, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Backing UNDERs in Moderate-to-High Total Division Action
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the UNDER in NFC East showdown—Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles u47 The top two teams in the NFC East will...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 5, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 1H Betting Picks Guide—Backing Struggling Offense
NFL Betting Picks: Backing underperforming offenses versus the 1H number—Houston Texans -1 1H and Las Vegas Raiders -0.5 1H The Texans'...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 5, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Where is Rock Bottom?
After three consecutive (straight up) losses, we are backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ATS at the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL week 9 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 5, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet
We are backing the Los Angeles Rams plus the points at the Green Bay Packers in 2023-24 NFL week 9 action, even without Matthew Stafford.
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 4, 20232 min read
NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses
We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs for the cover vs. the Miami Dolphins in week 9 NFL action at Frakfurt Stadium, in Frankfurt, Germany
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 4, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks—Backing Struggling Offense in 1H
Despite their soft offense, our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include a play on the Arizona Cardinals, as hosts to the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 29, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—The Fall From Glory
Our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include an empirical data-supported play on the Cincinnati Bengals +5 at the San Francisco 49ers
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 29, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
We are backing the New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts & New York Giants as hosts to the New York Jets ATS in 2023 week 8 NFL action
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 28, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Back Quality TNF Favorites
We make the case for laying the 9.5 & backing the Buffalo Bills for the home cover versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023 week 8 NFL action
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 26, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses
NFL Betting Picks: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5 -120 The 3-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South division, despite...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 21, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
NFL Betting Picks: Riding the Wave and Backing the UNDER at the Pats, Giants and Chiefs Per data from BetLabs, the UNDER is 56-37-1...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 21, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 NFL Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
NFL Betting Picks: Backing Bengals -2.5 -125 and Panthers +14/+14.5 We have observed evidence that ATS win rates are subject to a...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 15, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons
NFL Betting Picks: Indianapolis Colts +4 @ Jacksonville Jaguars Many of our NFL betting picks are based on an effort to exploit cognitive...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
NFL Betting Picks: Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears u43.5 We backed the UNDER in the first game of week 6 action Thursday, based on the...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 14, 20233 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Six Plays Highlighted In Last Hurrah for Early-Season Angle By now, we have documented ad nauseum the merit of backing...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Solid Spot for the UNDER in TNF Action
NFL Betting Picks: Broncos Chiefs u47.5 In an AFC West meeting, the Denver Broncos will visit the Kansas City Chiefs (as 11-point...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 12, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—MNF Marks a High Conviction Spot for the OVER
NFL Betting Picks: Taking a Stab at o44.5 in Raiders Packers Action We have made a case for the Packers to beat the number at the Raiders...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 8, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Six dogs warrant consideration, says this profitable, history-informed angle In each of the previous three weeks of...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 8, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Fade Covering Teams
NFL betting Picks: Taking points with Jags, Steelers & NY Giants sQuite improbably, Zach Wilson and the New York Jets upset the Buffalo...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 7, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the Bears +6.5 at the Commanders in week 5 Thursday Night Football action We suspect the betting public is too...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 5, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Historically Reliable System Highlight Seven Dogs Worth Considering In a piece outlining several week 2 NFL betting...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 1, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Clash of the Have-Nots
NFL Betting Picks: History says side with the Panthers and Bears versus the number in week 4 Over about the last 20 years, underdogs have...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 1, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Letting the Spread be Your Guide
NFL Betting Picks: Big line movement informs plays on four week 4 underdogs Historically, extreme changes in the betting line early in...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 1, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Early-Season Division Dogs
NFL Betting Picks: Backing a Pack of Dogs Versus Their Division Underdogs slipped to 25-21 ATS (54%) on the season after favorites...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 28, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Back Underachieving Underdogs
NFL Betting Pick: Tennessee Titans +3 at Cleveland Browns The Pythagorean Expectation, or Pythagorean Projection, represents a forecast...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 23, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Clash of the Have-Nots
NFL Betting Pick: Backing the Los Angeles Chargers for the ATS win at the Minnesota Vikings The Vikings finished last season 13-4, one...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 22, 20232 min read
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