NFL Betting Picks: Buffalo Bills -9.5

The Buffalo Bills dropped to 4-3 straight up after losing their week 7 matchup with the New England Patriots, despite being slated as 7.5 point road favorites. Just four days after suffering this upset loss, the Bills will kick off week 8 action at their Highmark Stadium, as hosts to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Bucs are 3-3, after losing consecutive games to the Detroit Lions and Atlanta Falcons. We are betting Buffalo deals Tampa their third consecutive SU/ATS loss with a decisive win Thursday. The angle indicated in the following graphic supports our position.

The system referenced above has delivered a statistically significant 16% long-term return on investment, and has submitted losing ATS records in only four years over the examination period.

We theorize that the success of this set of criteria owes to superior teams' ability to take advantage of lessor opponents' lack of recovery/preparation time in games played on Thursdays. Accordingly, we are laying the hefty chalk with the Bills and adopting Buffalo as the first of our week 8 NFL betting picks.

Regarding personnel, the Buc's starting QB, Baker Mayfield, is listed as questionable as of the time of this writing.

Happy betting!!