@WizeOwlSports
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Covering Teams
[A] play is triggered on [the] Los Angeles [Rams], and we are counting the home dog cover at SoFi among our NFL betting picks for Week 5
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@WizeOwlSports
Oct 52 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Back Division Dogs Early in the Year
Given...constructive indications...we regard the Pats +1 as our highest-conviction ATS pick of Week 5.
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 53 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Underperforming Favorites
We expand the use case for the Pythagorean Expectation in handicapping NFL action herein, by detailing another profitable system
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 52 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Backing Good Teams After Bad Games
We think the public is overreacting to one bad showing by the Bills, and we are betting on Buffalo for the bounce-back cover at H-Town...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 292 min read
NFL 2024 Betting Picks: A Methodological Adjustment
[W]e recently instituted the modification of cross-checking our historical context-based picks against Massey-Peabody NFL Power Rankings...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 282 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Covering Teams
Our Week 4 NFL betting picks include ATS plays on the Colts and Ravens, struggling teams facing unbeaten opposition
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 282 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: Back Division Dogs Early in the Year
The Chargers are the biggest underdogs of 2024 NFL Week 4 and we regard LA plus the points as our highest conviction NFL (ATS) betting pick
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 252 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: A Prime-Time Opportunity Thursday Night
The UNDER is 27-20-1 (57%) through the first three weeks of NFL action...our first play of [Week 4] is Dallas at New York Giants u45.5.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 142 min read
2024 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide: When to Back Dogs After Low-Scoring Performances
After last week's subpar numbers, we expect New England's offense to be sufficient to cover as hosts to the Seahawks in Week 2 NFL action...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 142 min read
2024 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide: A Spot for the Favorite
The Texans are 6.5-point favorites as hosts to the Bears in 2024-25 Week 2 Sunday Night Football. We are backing the boys of H-Town to cover
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 123 min read
2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Backing Four Dogs Highlighted by Pythagorean Expectation Angle
NFL Betting Picks: Taking the Points with the [Panthers], Packers, Titans and LA Rams in Week 2 Bill James, who might be best known for...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 112 min read
2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: When to Back the UNDER in Division Action
Discover a consistently profitable NFL betting picks guide, predicated on backing UNDERs in division action
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 72 min read
2024 Week 1 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Fading Significant Line Movement
The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point favorites at the Browns. The line has since swung four points. History suggests bettors are overreacting.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 62 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide: Fading the Biggest Favorite to Kick off the Season
We suspect bettors shunning New England is an overreaction to the Pats' tough times of late, constituting a prime example of recency bias.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 23 min read
2024 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance
NFL Betting Picks: 6-10-1 (38%), -17% ROI “If there weren’t luck involved, I would win every time.” - Phil Hellmuth, Professional...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 272 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—A Solid Early-Season Spot for Taking the Points
Much of our work seeks to capitalize on bettor biases that create actionable inefficiencies in the marketplace. One common preference...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 251 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Expectations Too Low for These Three Underdogs
NFL Betting Picks: Taking Points with the Panthers, NY Giants and Commanders One solidly profitable angle, predicated on the public's...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 252 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Backing the Champs in Thursday Night Football Action
Our first betting pick of the 2024 NFL regular season is a play on the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the chalk versus the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 43 min read
2023 NFL Super Bowl LVIII Betting Picks Guide—San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Super Bowl Betting Pick: 49ers vs. Chiefs +2 We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs to hoist the Lombardi trophy when the dust settles...
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 151 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Backing Modest Favorites to Make it to the Divisional Round
We are siding with the Philadelphia Eagles for the win at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wildcard Round of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs
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