@WizeOwlSports
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Covering Teams
[A] play is triggered on [the] Los Angeles [Rams], and we are counting the home dog cover at SoFi among our NFL betting picks for Week 5
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@WizeOwlSports
Oct 52 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Back Division Dogs Early in the Year
Given...constructive indications...we regard the Pats +1 as our highest-conviction ATS pick of Week 5.
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 53 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Underperforming Favorites
We expand the use case for the Pythagorean Expectation in handicapping NFL action herein, by detailing another profitable system
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 52 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Backing Good Teams After Bad Games
We think the public is overreacting to one bad showing by the Bills, and we are betting on Buffalo for the bounce-back cover at H-Town...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 292 min read
NFL 2024 Betting Picks: A Methodological Adjustment
[W]e recently instituted the modification of cross-checking our historical context-based picks against Massey-Peabody NFL Power Rankings...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 282 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Covering Teams
Our Week 4 NFL betting picks include ATS plays on the Colts and Ravens, struggling teams facing unbeaten opposition
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 282 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: Back Division Dogs Early in the Year
The Chargers are the biggest underdogs of 2024 NFL Week 4 and we regard LA plus the points as our highest conviction NFL (ATS) betting pick
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 252 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: A Prime-Time Opportunity Thursday Night
The UNDER is 27-20-1 (57%) through the first three weeks of NFL action...our first play of [Week 4] is Dallas at New York Giants u45.5.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 142 min read
2024 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide: When to Back Dogs After Low-Scoring Performances
After last week's subpar numbers, we expect New England's offense to be sufficient to cover as hosts to the Seahawks in Week 2 NFL action...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 142 min read
2024 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide: A Spot for the Favorite
The Texans are 6.5-point favorites as hosts to the Bears in 2024-25 Week 2 Sunday Night Football. We are backing the boys of H-Town to cover
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 123 min read
2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Backing Four Dogs Highlighted by Pythagorean Expectation Angle
NFL Betting Picks: Taking the Points with the [Panthers], Packers, Titans and LA Rams in Week 2 Bill James, who might be best known for...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 112 min read
2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: When to Back the UNDER in Division Action
Discover a consistently profitable NFL betting picks guide, predicated on backing UNDERs in division action
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 72 min read
2024 Week 1 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Fading Significant Line Movement
The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point favorites at the Browns. The line has since swung four points. History suggests bettors are overreacting.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 62 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide: Fading the Biggest Favorite to Kick off the Season
We suspect bettors shunning New England is an overreaction to the Pats' tough times of late, constituting a prime example of recency bias.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 23 min read
2024 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance
NFL Betting Picks: 6-10-1 (38%), -17% ROI “If there weren’t luck involved, I would win every time.” - Phil Hellmuth, Professional...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 272 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—A Solid Early-Season Spot for Taking the Points
Much of our work seeks to capitalize on bettor biases that create actionable inefficiencies in the marketplace. One common preference...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 251 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Expectations Too Low for These Three Underdogs
NFL Betting Picks: Taking Points with the Panthers, NY Giants and Commanders One solidly profitable angle, predicated on the public's...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 252 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Backing the Champs in Thursday Night Football Action
Our first betting pick of the 2024 NFL regular season is a play on the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the chalk versus the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 43 min read
2023 NFL Super Bowl LVIII Betting Picks Guide—San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Super Bowl Betting Pick: 49ers vs. Chiefs +2 We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs to hoist the Lombardi trophy when the dust settles...
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 151 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Backing Modest Favorites to Make it to the Divisional Round
We are siding with the Philadelphia Eagles for the win at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wildcard Round of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 132 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—A Strategy for Wildcard Round Totals
We detail herein a historically profitable angle that guides O/U betting for the Wildcard Round of the NFL Playoffs.
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 122 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Taking a Side ATS on Browns @ Texans
In our first betting pick of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, we are backing the Houston Texans for the underdog cover versus the Cleveland Browns
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 23 min read
2023 NFL Week 18 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
In 2023 regular season finale action, our NFL betting picks include playing UNDERs in Baltimore, MD, East Rutherford, NJ and Foxborough, MA
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 31, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action
Our NFL 2023 week 17 betting picks line-up includes a play on the OVER when the Bengals face the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 30, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Identifying Undeserving Big Favorites
Our 2023 week 17 NFL betting picks include fading the Eagles vs. the Cardinals. Philly's recent struggles imply 12 is too much chalk to lay
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 30, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Fading the Biggest Wins
Our 2023 NFL week 17 betting picks include a play on the Seattle Seahawks for the cover as hosts to the Pittsburgh Steelers...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 29, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best
Our 2023 week 17 NFL Sunday betting picks include backing the 4-10-1 ATS New Orleans Saints against the 10-5 ATS Tampa Bay Buccaneers...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 27, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—A High Conviction Teaser Opportunity
In 2023 NFL week 17, we are teasing (by six) the Cleveland Browns vs. the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills vs. the New England Patriots
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 26, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion
We're betting on the New York Jets, and their 4th starting QB this year, to cover at the Cleveland Browns, the best home team in the NFL ATS
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 25, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Fading Big MNF Chalk
Our 2023 week 16 NFL betting picks include a flyer on the Raiders to beat the number at the Chiefs, in this Christmas Day AFC West shhowdown
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 25, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
Our 2023 NFL week 16 betting picks include a play on the total for the Christmas Day AFC West showdown featuring the Raiders at the Chiefs
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 24, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action
In weeks 1-9, the UNDER was a dominant 83-52 (61%). Since that point (through the first three games of week 16), the OVER is 48-43 (53%)....
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 24, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons
NFL Betting Pick: Arizona Cardinals +4 at Chicago Bears After losing versus the Niners in a 29-45 barn-burner last week, the Cardinals...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 24, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings
Our 2023 NFL week 16 betting picks include plays on the Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers & New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 26, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best
In 2023 NFL week 12 action, we are backing a couple of underdogs with losing records against the spread, versus very bettor-friendly teams
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 25, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—The Mile High Disadvantage
We detail herein our basis for backing the Browns, led by replcement QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, at the Broncos in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 25, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Low
A signal from a reliable system compels us to back the Carolina Panthers as road dogs at the Tennessee Titans in 2023 NFL week 12 action...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 24, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings
We detail herein our rationale for backing the New York Jets as home dogs versus the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 24, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
We detail our rationale for backing the UNDER when the Tim Boyle-led New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 16, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 11 Betting Picks Guide—UNDERs in Division Play with Big Numbers
We are backing the UNDER in 2023 week 11 NFL Thursday Night Football action featuring the Cincinnati Bengals at the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 9, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
Our 2023 NFL week 10 betting picks include plays on the Patriots, Saints and New York Giants, powered by triggers from a history-based angle
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 9, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Bad Vs. Bad
Kicking off our week 10 2023 NFL betting picks by taking a side on Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (Bears' Justin Fields still sidelined)
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 5, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Backing UNDERs in Moderate-to-High Total Division Action
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the UNDER in NFC East showdown—Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles u47 The top two teams in the NFC East will...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 5, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 1H Betting Picks Guide—Backing Struggling Offense
NFL Betting Picks: Backing underperforming offenses versus the 1H number—Houston Texans -1 1H and Las Vegas Raiders -0.5 1H The Texans'...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 5, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Where is Rock Bottom?
After three consecutive (straight up) losses, we are backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ATS at the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL week 9 action
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 4, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet
We are backing the Los Angeles Rams plus the points at the Green Bay Packers in 2023-24 NFL week 9 action, even without Matthew Stafford.
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 4, 20232 min read
NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses
We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs for the cover vs. the Miami Dolphins in week 9 NFL action at Frakfurt Stadium, in Frankfurt, Germany
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 29, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks—Backing Struggling Offense in 1H
Despite their soft offense, our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include a play on the Arizona Cardinals, as hosts to the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 29, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—The Fall From Glory
Our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include an empirical data-supported play on the Cincinnati Bengals +5 at the San Francisco 49ers
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 28, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
We are backing the New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts & New York Giants as hosts to the New York Jets ATS in 2023 week 8 NFL action
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