WizeOwlSports

2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Backing Three Dogs Highlighted by Pythagorean Expectation Angle

@WizeOwlSports

20 hours ago
3 min

2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Backing Three Dogs Highlighted by Pythagorean Expectation Angle

NFL Betting Picks: Taking the Points with the Packers, Titans and LA Rams in Week 2 Bill James, who might be best known for innovating...

2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: When to Back the UNDER in Division Action

@WizeOwlSports

2 days ago
2 min

2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: When to Back the UNDER in Division Action

Discover a consistently profitable NFL betting picks guide, predicated on backing UNDERs in division action

2024 Week 1 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Fading Significant Line Movement

@WizeOwlSports

5 days ago
2 min

2024 Week 1 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Fading Significant Line Movement

The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point favorites at the Browns. The line has since swung four points. History suggests bettors are overreacting.

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide: Fading the Biggest Favorite to Kick off the Season

@WizeOwlSports

6 days ago
2 min

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide: Fading the Biggest Favorite to Kick off the Season

We suspect bettors shunning New England is an overreaction to the Pats' tough times of late, constituting a prime example of recency bias.

2024 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance

@WizeOwlSports

Sep 2
2 min

2024 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance

NFL Betting Picks: Looking forward to Week 1! “If there weren’t luck involved, I would win every time.” - Phil Hellmuth, Professional...

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—A Solid Early-Season Spot for Taking the Points

@WizeOwlSports

Aug 27
2 min

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—A Solid Early-Season Spot for Taking the Points

Much of our work seeks to capitalize on bettor biases that create actionable inefficiencies in the marketplace. One common preference...

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Expectations Too Low for These Three Underdogs

@WizeOwlSports

Aug 25
1 min

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Expectations Too Low for These Three Underdogs

NFL Betting Picks: Taking Points with the Panthers, NY Giants and Commanders One solidly profitable angle, predicated on the public's...

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Backing the Champs in Thursday Night Football Action

@WizeOwlSports

Aug 25
2 min

2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Backing the Champs in Thursday Night Football Action

Our first betting pick of the 2024 NFL regular season is a play on the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the chalk versus the Baltimore Ravens

2023 NFL Super Bowl LVIII Betting Picks Guide—San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

@WizeOwlSports

Feb 4
3 min

2023 NFL Super Bowl LVIII Betting Picks Guide—San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Super Bowl Betting Pick: 49ers vs. Chiefs +2 We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs to hoist the Lombardi trophy when the dust settles...

2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Backing Modest Favorites to Make it to the Divisional Round

@WizeOwlSports

Jan 15
1 min

2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Backing Modest Favorites to Make it to the Divisional Round

We are siding with the Philadelphia Eagles for the win at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wildcard Round of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs

2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—A Strategy for Wildcard Round Totals

@WizeOwlSports

Jan 13
2 min

2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—A Strategy for Wildcard Round Totals

We detail herein a historically profitable angle that guides O/U betting for the Wildcard Round of the NFL Playoffs.

2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Taking a Side ATS on Browns @ Texans

@WizeOwlSports

Jan 12
2 min

2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Taking a Side ATS on Browns @ Texans

In our first betting pick of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, we are backing the Houston Texans for the underdog cover versus the Cleveland Browns

2023 NFL Week 18 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

@WizeOwlSports

Jan 2
3 min

2023 NFL Week 18 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

In 2023 regular season finale action, our NFL betting picks include playing UNDERs in Baltimore, MD, East Rutherford, NJ and Foxborough, MA

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 31, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action

Our NFL 2023 week 17 betting picks line-up includes a play on the OVER when the Bengals face the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Identifying Undeserving Big Favorites

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 30, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Identifying Undeserving Big Favorites

Our 2023 week 17 NFL betting picks include fading the Eagles vs. the Cardinals. Philly's recent struggles imply 12 is too much chalk to lay

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Fading the Biggest Wins

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 30, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Fading the Biggest Wins

Our 2023 NFL week 17 betting picks include a play on the Seattle Seahawks for the cover as hosts to the Pittsburgh Steelers...

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 30, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best

Our 2023 week 17 NFL Sunday betting picks include backing the 4-10-1 ATS New Orleans Saints against the 10-5 ATS Tampa Bay Buccaneers...

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—A High Conviction Teaser Opportunity

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 27, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—A High Conviction Teaser Opportunity

In 2023 NFL week 17, we are teasing (by six) the Cleveland Browns vs. the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills vs. the New England Patriots

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 26, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion

We're betting on the New York Jets, and their 4th starting QB this year, to cover at the Cleveland Browns, the best home team in the NFL ATS

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Fading Big MNF Chalk

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 25, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Fading Big MNF Chalk

Our 2023 week 16 NFL betting picks include a flyer on the Raiders to beat the number at the Chiefs, in this Christmas Day AFC West shhowdown

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 25, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

Our 2023 NFL week 16 betting picks include a play on the total for the Christmas Day AFC West showdown featuring the Raiders at the Chiefs

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 24, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Seemingly Unlikely OVERs in Afternoon / Evening Action

In weeks 1-9, the UNDER was a dominant 83-52 (61%). Since that point (through the first three games of week 16), the OVER is 48-43 (53%)....

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 24, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons

NFL Betting Pick: Arizona Cardinals +4 at Chicago Bears After losing versus the Niners in a 29-45 barn-burner last week, the Cardinals...

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings

@WizeOwlSports

Dec 24, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 16 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings

Our 2023 NFL week 16 betting picks include plays on the Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers & New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 26, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best

In 2023 NFL week 12 action, we are backing a couple of underdogs with losing records against the spread, versus very bettor-friendly teams

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—The Mile High Disadvantage

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 25, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—The Mile High Disadvantage

We detail herein our basis for backing the Browns, led by replcement QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, at the Broncos in 2023 NFL week 12 action

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Low

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 25, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Low

A signal from a reliable system compels us to back the Carolina Panthers as road dogs at the Tennessee Titans in 2023 NFL week 12 action...

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 24, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings

We detail herein our rationale for backing the New York Jets as home dogs versus the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 24, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

We detail our rationale for backing the UNDER when the Tim Boyle-led New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action

2023 NFL Week 11 Betting Picks Guide—UNDERs in Division Play with Big Numbers

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 16, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 11 Betting Picks Guide—UNDERs in Division Play with Big Numbers

We are backing the UNDER in 2023 week 11 NFL Thursday Night Football action featuring the Cincinnati Bengals at the Baltimore Ravens

2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 9, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean

Our 2023 NFL week 10 betting picks include plays on the Patriots, Saints and New York Giants, powered by triggers from a history-based angle

2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Bad Vs. Bad

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 9, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Bad Vs. Bad

Kicking off our week 10 2023 NFL betting picks by taking a side on Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (Bears' Justin Fields still sidelined)

2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Backing UNDERs in Moderate-to-High Total Division Action

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 5, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Backing UNDERs in Moderate-to-High Total Division Action

NFL Betting Picks: Backing the UNDER in NFC East showdown—Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles u47 The top two teams in the NFC East will...

2023 NFL Week 9 1H Betting Picks Guide—Backing Struggling Offense

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 5, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 9 1H Betting Picks Guide—Backing Struggling Offense

NFL Betting Picks: Backing underperforming offenses versus the 1H number—Houston Texans -1 1H and Las Vegas Raiders -0.5 1H The Texans'...

2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Where is Rock Bottom?

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 5, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Where is Rock Bottom?

After three consecutive (straight up) losses, we are backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ATS at the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL week 9 action

2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 4, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet

We are backing the Los Angeles Rams plus the points at the Green Bay Packers in 2023-24 NFL week 9 action, even without Matthew Stafford.

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses

@WizeOwlSports

Nov 4, 2023
2 min

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses

We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs for the cover vs. the Miami Dolphins in week 9 NFL action at Frakfurt Stadium, in Frankfurt, Germany

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks—Backing Struggling Offense in 1H

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 29, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks—Backing Struggling Offense in 1H

Despite their soft offense, our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include a play on the Arizona Cardinals, as hosts to the Baltimore Ravens

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—The Fall From Glory

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 29, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—The Fall From Glory

Our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include an empirical data-supported play on the Cincinnati Bengals +5 at the San Francisco 49ers

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 28, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean

We are backing the New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts & New York Giants as hosts to the New York Jets ATS in 2023 week 8 NFL action

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Back Quality TNF Favorites

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 26, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Back Quality TNF Favorites

We make the case for laying the 9.5 & backing the Buffalo Bills for the home cover versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023 week 8 NFL action

2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 21, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses

NFL Betting Picks: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5 -120 The 3-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South division, despite...

2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 21, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

NFL Betting Picks: Riding the Wave and Backing the UNDER at the Pats, Giants and Chiefs Per data from BetLabs, the UNDER is 56-37-1...

2023 NFL Week 6 NFL Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 15, 2023
1 min

2023 NFL Week 6 NFL Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean

NFL Betting Picks: Backing Bengals -2.5 -125 and Panthers +14/+14.5 We have observed evidence that ATS win rates are subject to a...

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 14, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons

NFL Betting Picks: Indianapolis Colts +4 @ Jacksonville Jaguars Many of our NFL betting picks are based on an effort to exploit cognitive...

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 14, 2023
3 min

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER

NFL Betting Picks: Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears u43.5 We backed the UNDER in the first game of week 6 action Thursday, based on the...

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 14, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low

NFL Betting Picks: Six Plays Highlighted In Last Hurrah for Early-Season Angle By now, we have documented ad nauseum the merit of backing...

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Solid Spot for the UNDER in TNF Action

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 12, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Solid Spot for the UNDER in TNF Action

NFL Betting Picks: Broncos Chiefs u47.5 In an AFC West meeting, the Denver Broncos will visit the Kansas City Chiefs (as 11-point...

2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—MNF Marks a High Conviction Spot for the OVER

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 8, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—MNF Marks a High Conviction Spot for the OVER

NFL Betting Picks: Taking a Stab at o44.5 in Raiders Packers Action We have made a case for the Packers to beat the number at the Raiders...

2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low

@WizeOwlSports

Oct 8, 2023
2 min

2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low

NFL Betting Picks: Six dogs warrant consideration, says this profitable, history-informed angle In each of the previous three weeks of...

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