@WizeOwlSports
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Siding With the Worst Teams ATS Vs. the Best
In 2023 NFL week 12 action, we are backing a couple of underdogs with losing records against the spread, versus very bettor-friendly teams
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@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 25
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—The Mile High Disadvantage
We detail herein our basis for backing the Browns, led by replcement QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, at the Broncos in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 25
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Low
A signal from a reliable system compels us to back the Carolina Panthers as road dogs at the Tennessee Titans in 2023 NFL week 12 action...
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 24
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide: Unloved Squads Off Poor Offensive Outings
We detail herein our rationale for backing the New York Jets as home dogs versus the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 24
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
We detail our rationale for backing the UNDER when the Tim Boyle-led New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins in 2023 NFL week 12 action
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 16
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 11 Betting Picks Guide—UNDERs in Division Play with Big Numbers
We are backing the UNDER in 2023 week 11 NFL Thursday Night Football action featuring the Cincinnati Bengals at the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 9
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
Our 2023 NFL week 10 betting picks include plays on the Patriots, Saints and New York Giants, powered by triggers from a history-based angle
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 9
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Bad Vs. Bad
Kicking off our week 10 2023 NFL betting picks by taking a side on Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (Bears' Justin Fields still sidelined)
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 5
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Backing UNDERs in Moderate-to-High Total Division Action
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the UNDER in NFC East showdown—Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles u47 The top two teams in the NFC East will...
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 5
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 9 1H Betting Picks Guide—Backing Struggling Offense
NFL Betting Picks: Backing underperforming offenses versus the 1H number—Houston Texans -1 1H and Las Vegas Raiders -0.5 1H The Texans'...
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 5
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Where is Rock Bottom?
After three consecutive (straight up) losses, we are backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ATS at the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL week 9 action
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 4
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet
We are backing the Los Angeles Rams plus the points at the Green Bay Packers in 2023-24 NFL week 9 action, even without Matthew Stafford.
@WizeOwlSports
- Nov 4
- 2 min
NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses
We are backing the Kansas City Chiefs for the cover vs. the Miami Dolphins in week 9 NFL action at Frakfurt Stadium, in Frankfurt, Germany
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 29
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks—Backing Struggling Offense in 1H
Despite their soft offense, our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include a play on the Arizona Cardinals, as hosts to the Baltimore Ravens
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 29
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—The Fall From Glory
Our 2023 week 8 NFL betting picks include an empirical data-supported play on the Cincinnati Bengals +5 at the San Francisco 49ers
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 28
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
We are backing the New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts & New York Giants as hosts to the New York Jets ATS in 2023 week 8 NFL action
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 25
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Back Quality TNF Favorites
We make the case for laying the 9.5 & backing the Buffalo Bills for the home cover versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023 week 8 NFL action
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 21
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses
NFL Betting Picks: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5 -120 The 3-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South division, despite...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 21
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
NFL Betting Picks: Riding the Wave and Backing the UNDER at the Pats, Giants and Chiefs Per data from BetLabs, the UNDER is 56-37-1...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 15
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 6 NFL Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
NFL Betting Picks: Backing Bengals -2.5 -125 and Panthers +14/+14.5 We have observed evidence that ATS win rates are subject to a...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 14
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons
NFL Betting Picks: Indianapolis Colts +4 @ Jacksonville Jaguars Many of our NFL betting picks are based on an effort to exploit cognitive...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 14
- 3 min
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—High Winds Create High Conviction Spot for the UNDER
NFL Betting Picks: Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears u43.5 We backed the UNDER in the first game of week 6 action Thursday, based on the...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 14
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Six Plays Highlighted In Last Hurrah for Early-Season Angle By now, we have documented ad nauseum the merit of backing...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 12
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Solid Spot for the UNDER in TNF Action
NFL Betting Picks: Broncos Chiefs u47.5 In an AFC West meeting, the Denver Broncos will visit the Kansas City Chiefs (as 11-point...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 8
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—MNF Marks a High Conviction Spot for the OVER
NFL Betting Picks: Taking a Stab at o44.5 in Raiders Packers Action We have made a case for the Packers to beat the number at the Raiders...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 8
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Six dogs warrant consideration, says this profitable, history-informed angle In each of the previous three weeks of...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 7
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Fade Covering Teams
NFL betting Picks: Taking points with Jags, Steelers & NY Giants sQuite improbably, Zach Wilson and the New York Jets upset the Buffalo...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 5
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the Bears +6.5 at the Commanders in week 5 Thursday Night Football action We suspect the betting public is too...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 1
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Historically Reliable System Highlight Seven Dogs Worth Considering In a piece outlining several week 2 NFL betting...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 1
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Clash of the Have-Nots
NFL Betting Picks: History says side with the Panthers and Bears versus the number in week 4 Over about the last 20 years, underdogs have...
@WizeOwlSports
- Oct 1
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Letting the Spread be Your Guide
NFL Betting Picks: Big line movement informs plays on four week 4 underdogs Historically, extreme changes in the betting line early in...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 27
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Early-Season Division Dogs
NFL Betting Picks: Backing a Pack of Dogs Versus Their Division Underdogs slipped to 25-21 ATS (54%) on the season after favorites...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 23
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Back Underachieving Underdogs
NFL Betting Pick: Tennessee Titans +3 at Cleveland Browns The Pythagorean Expectation, or Pythagorean Projection, represents a forecast...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 22
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Clash of the Have-Nots
NFL Betting Pick: Backing the Los Angeles Chargers for the ATS win at the Minnesota Vikings The Vikings finished last season 13-4, one...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 21
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Fade Early Season Road Teams off Big Wins
NFL Betting Pick: Commanders +6.5 The Bills thrashed the Raiders 38-10 at Buffalo's Highmark Stadium in week 2 NFL action (to our...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 21
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Siding with Four Dogs off Bad Offensive Performances In a piece last week, we discussed the reduced productivity of...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 19
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Backing Momentum
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the Ravens and Buccaneers to maintain their cover streaks We detailed a betting angle last week that has...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 15
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Early-Season Division Dogs
NFL 2023 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks: Backing Four Division Dogs Underdogs have exhibited an edge versus the number in regular season NFL...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 14
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Backing a Pack of Dogs As indicated in the graphic below, according to SportsHandle, NFL teams have posted an average...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 12
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Backing Momentum
NFL Betting Picks: Take the Jaguars & Cowboys ATS We have observed evidence of positive momentum in NFL betting markets. We describe...
@WizeOwlSports
- Sep 10
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—Tailing the Sharp Action
Tampa Bay at Minnesota NFL Betting Pick: Bucs +4.5 According to data from SportsInsights, 61% of spread bets are down on Kirk Cousins and...
@WizeOwlSports
- Aug 27
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 1: Another Angle for Early Season Betting Picks
We're taking the New York Giants ATS at the Dallas Cowboys in the 2023-24 NFL season opener at AT&T Stadium. We detail our rationale here...
@WizeOwlSports
- Aug 9
- 2 min
2023 NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Pick: Houston Texans @ New England Patriots
We indicate here our basis for backing the New England Patriots for the home cover versus the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL preseason week 1
@WizeOwlSports
- Aug 2
- 1 min
NFL Preseason Betting Guide: A 2023 Hall of Fame Game Pick
We lay out our rationale here for taking the points with the Cleveland Browns, as hosts to the New York Jets, in the 2023 Hall of Fame Game.
@WizeOwlSports
- Jul 25
- 3 min
2017 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance
We log NFL picks published on this site for the 2017-18 regular and post-season here. Per this account, we delivered an 8% ROI...
@WizeOwlSports
- Jul 24
- 8 min
2023 NFL Season Betting Picks Performance
Regular Season NFL Betting Picks: 42-38-3 ATS (53%), -1% ROI “If there weren’t luck involved, I would win every time.” - Phil Hellmuth,...
@WizeOwlSports
- Jul 24
- 1 min
2023 NFL Week 1: Betting Pick for Thursday Night Football Season Opener
We kick off the 2023 NFL season with a Thursday Night Football ATS play on the champion Kansas City Chiefs as hosts to the Detroit Lions...
@WizeOwlSports
- Jul 23
- 2 min
2023 NFL Week 1: Highly Successful System Yields 7 Betting Picks
NFL Betting Picks: Backing low-quality dogs vs. their division The first action of the NFL season has historically proven a golden...
@WizeOwlSports
- Jan 17
- 2 min
NFL 2022 Divisional Round: Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers
We lay out herein a history-based rationale for backing the Dallas Cowboys at the San Francisco 49ers in 2022 NFL Divisional Round action...
@WizeOwlSports
- Jan 15
- 1 min
2022 NFL Wild Card Round: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
We like the Bengals for the home cover in 2022 NFL Wild Card action. A consistently profitable history-based system rationalized this play.
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