@WizeOwlSports
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Underperforming Favorites
We expand the use case for the Pythagorean Expectation in handicapping NFL action herein, by detailing another profitable system
top of page
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 282 min read
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Covering Teams
Our Week 4 NFL betting picks include ATS plays on the Colts and Ravens, struggling teams facing unbeaten opposition
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 123 min read
2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Backing Four Dogs Highlighted by Pythagorean Expectation Angle
NFL Betting Picks: Taking the Points with the [Panthers], Packers, Titans and LA Rams in Week 2 Bill James, who might be best known for...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 272 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—A Solid Early-Season Spot for Taking the Points
Much of our work seeks to capitalize on bettor biases that create actionable inefficiencies in the marketplace. One common preference...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 9, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 10 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
Our 2023 NFL week 10 betting picks include plays on the Patriots, Saints and New York Giants, powered by triggers from a history-based angle
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 28, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 8 Betting Picks Guide—Betting on Reversion to the Mean
We are backing the New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts & New York Giants as hosts to the New York Jets ATS in 2023 week 8 NFL action
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons
NFL Betting Picks: Indianapolis Colts +4 @ Jacksonville Jaguars Many of our NFL betting picks are based on an effort to exploit cognitive...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 19, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Backing Momentum
NFL Betting Picks: Backing the Ravens and Buccaneers to maintain their cover streaks We detailed a betting angle last week that has...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Backing a Pack of Dogs As indicated in the graphic below, according to SportsHandle, NFL teams have posted an average...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 27, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 1—Another Angle for Early Season Betting Picks
We're taking the New York Giants ATS at the Dallas Cowboys in the 2023-24 NFL season opener at AT&T Stadium. We detail our rationale here...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 23, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 1: Highly Successful System Yields 7 Betting Picks
NFL Betting Picks: Backing low-quality dogs vs. their division The first action of the NFL season has historically proven a golden...
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 6, 20232 min read
NFL Week 18: Three Lowly Dogs Worth the Flyer in Final Regular Season Action
We detail a profitable NFL system based on exploiting the public's recency bias. This angle highlights three plays for 2022 NFL week 18...
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 2, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 13 SNF: Indianapolis Colts @ Dallas Cowboys
We like the Indianapolis Colts, as big road dogs, for the cover in their week 13 NFC showdown with the Dallas Cowboys Sunday evening...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 13, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 10: Las Vegas Raiders @ Indianapolis Colts
Consistent with NFL underdogs' historical success this week, we're taking points with the Colts as hosts to the Raiders in 2022 NFL week 10.
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 6, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 10: Best Spot of Regular Season for Point-Takers
Week 10 represents the absolute best spot of the regular NFL season to throw support behind underdogs to beat the number...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 6, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 5: Output of an Early-Season System Going Strong
A reliable history-based system in our stable produced seven 2022 NFL week 5 betting picks. We detail this angle and it's output herein...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 16, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 2: Backing Two Dogs That Are Not as Bad as You Think
Last year's worst teams tend to be underestimated early in the new season. We're taking the Panthers & Jags in 2022 NFL week 2 to capitalize
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 5, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Teasing a Road Favorite and Home Dog
In 2022 NFL week 1 action, we are combining plays on the Vikings (vs. Packers) and Colts (at Texans) in a two-leg, six point teaser...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 5, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: A Spot for Point-Takers Facing Dubious Division Foes
We like 4 division dogs for the 2022 NFL week 1 cover, based on a reliable system. Siding with Texans, Patriots, Falcons & Raiders ATS...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 5, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Exploiting Market Biases to Kick off the New Season
To kick off the 2022-23 NFL regular season, we are backing three home dogs for whom we have reason to believe betting spreads are mispriced.
bottom of page