WizeOwlSports

NFL Betting Picks: Siding with the UNDER in LA Rams @ Panthers and Bills @ Jags Wildcard Action Backing the UNDER in interdivision NFL Wildcard action has proven profitable, historically. Adhering to this simple rule of thumb has delivered a win rate that is statistically significantly higher than the breakeven threshold, assuming the standard vigorish, good for a 14% long-term return on investment. We hypothesize that casual bettors' overoptimism explains this phenomenon. W

The Broncos, Seahawks, Patriots, Jaguars, Bears, Rams, 49ers, Texans, Bills, Chargers, and Packers all made the postseason cut this year, after missing the mark in 2024-25. The reversal of fortunes informs an angle that has delivered a long-term ATS win rate that is statistically significantly higher (despite the relatively small sample size) than the 52.3% cover rate required to break even at the standard vigorish.

NFL Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars +1 The Football Outsiders' Defense-adjusted Value Over Average framework (now owned by FTN Network) evaluates team performance on a play-by-play basis compared to the league average, adjusted for situation and opponent. DVOA is widely respected as a predictor of future success. This metric gives the Jaguars a slight edge over the Bills, in the ballpark of a point, even before considering any home-field advantage associa

We think the public is overreacting to one bad showing by the Bills, and we are betting on Buffalo for the bounce-back cover at H-Town...

Our Week 4 NFL betting picks include ATS plays on the Colts and Ravens, struggling teams facing unbeaten opposition

Discover a consistently profitable NFL betting picks guide, predicated on backing UNDERs in division action

In 2023 NFL week 17, we are teasing (by six) the Cleveland Browns vs. the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills vs. the New England Patriots

In 2023 NFL week 12 action, we are backing a couple of underdogs with losing records against the spread, versus very bettor-friendly teams

We make the case for laying the 9.5 & backing the Buffalo Bills for the home cover versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023 week 8 NFL action

NFL Betting Picks: Riding the Wave and Backing the UNDER at the Pats, Giants and Chiefs Per data from BetLabs, the UNDER is 56-37-1...

NFL Betting Picks: Six Plays Highlighted In Last Hurrah for Early-Season Angle By now, we have documented ad nauseum the merit of backing...

NFL betting Picks: Taking points with Jags, Steelers & NY Giants sQuite improbably, Zach Wilson and the New York Jets upset the Buffalo...

NFL Betting Pick: Commanders +6.5 The Bills thrashed the Raiders 38-10 at Buffalo's Highmark Stadium in week 2 NFL action (to our...

NFL Betting Picks: Backing a Pack of Dogs As indicated in the graphic below, according to SportsHandle, NFL teams have posted an average...

We're taking the New York Giants ATS at the Dallas Cowboys in the 2023-24 NFL season opener at AT&T Stadium. We detail our rationale here...

NFL Betting Picks: Backing low-quality dogs vs. their division The first action of the NFL season has historically proven a golden...

In Christmas Eve 2022 NFL action, we are fading the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills at the laggards of the NFC North, the Chicago Bears...

A reliable history-based system in our stable produced seven 2022 NFL week 5 betting picks. We detail this angle and it's output herein...

Getting down on the road favs: Buffalo Bills -2.5 It has proven a rare event for teams from opposing conferences to match up in NFL...

We are backing the Bills at Panthers, Eagles at Dolphins and Bucs at Colts against the spread in the last week of the 2022 NFL Preseason.