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  • Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports
    • Oct 1, 2023
    • 1 min read

2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Clash of the Have-Nots

NFL Betting Picks: History says side with the Panthers and Bears versus the number in week 4

History says side with the Carolina Panthers and Bears versus the number in 2023 NFL week 4 action

Over about the last 20 years, underdogs have demonstrated a decided edge in NFL action featuring two struggling squads. This observation supports two home dogs in week 4.

In NFL action featuring winless teams, the rule is to back the underdog

The angle indicated in the above graphic has delivered a statistically significant 26% return on investment over the examination period, and is a perfect 4-0 ATS so far this season.


We noted in week 3 that underdogs are appreciably more likely to collect the 'W' in NFL contests between two teams that have yet to win a game. Given favorites' greater absolute vulnerability from this position, the points appear increasingly important in deciding which one of two lowly teams covers the spread.


For week 4, this system highlights the following two NFL betting picks. We are taking both.


Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers +5

Denver Broncos @ Chicago Bears +3.5 -125


Happy betting!!


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