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NFL Betting Picks: Guidance for Betting Wildcard Round Totals
NFL Betting Picks: Siding with the UNDER in LA Rams @ Panthers and Bills @ Jags Wildcard Action Backing the UNDER in interdivision NFL Wildcard action has proven profitable, historically. Adhering to this simple rule of thumb has delivered a win rate that is statistically significantly higher than the breakeven threshold, assuming the standard vigorish, good for a 14% long-term return on investment. We hypothesize that casual bettors' overoptimism explains this phenomenon. W

@WizeOwlSports
Jan 102 min read


NFL Playoffs Betting Picks: Three Pooches Worth Considering in the Wildcard Round
The Broncos, Seahawks, Patriots, Jaguars, Bears, Rams, 49ers, Texans, Bills, Chargers, and Packers all made the postseason cut this year, after missing the mark in 2024-25. The reversal of fortunes informs an angle that has delivered a long-term ATS win rate that is statistically significantly higher (despite the relatively small sample size) than the 52.3% cover rate required to break even at the standard vigorish.

@WizeOwlSports
Jan 85 min read


2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Covering Teams
[A] play is triggered on [the] Los Angeles [Rams], and we are counting the home dog cover at SoFi among our NFL betting picks for Week 5

@WizeOwlSports
Oct 6, 20241 min read


2024 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Backing Four Dogs Highlighted by Pythagorean Expectation Angle
NFL Betting Picks: Taking the Points with the [Panthers], Packers, Titans and LA Rams in Week 2 Bill James, who might be best known for...

@WizeOwlSports
Sep 12, 20243 min read


2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—A Strategy for Wildcard Round Totals
We detail herein a historically profitable angle that guides O/U betting for the Wildcard Round of the NFL Playoffs.

@WizeOwlSports
Jan 13, 20242 min read


2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—When Struggling Teams Meet
We are backing the Los Angeles Rams plus the points at the Green Bay Packers in 2023-24 NFL week 9 action, even without Matthew Stafford.

@WizeOwlSports
Nov 4, 20232 min read


2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Early-Season Division Dogs
NFL 2023 Week 2 NFL Betting Picks: Backing Four Division Dogs Underdogs have exhibited an edge versus the number in regular season NFL...

@WizeOwlSports
Sep 15, 20232 min read


2023 NFL Week 1—Another Angle for Early Season Betting Picks
We're taking the New York Giants ATS at the Dallas Cowboys in the 2023-24 NFL season opener at AT&T Stadium. We detail our rationale here...

@WizeOwlSports
Aug 27, 20232 min read


2023 NFL Week 1: Highly Successful System Yields 7 Betting Picks
NFL Betting Picks: Backing low-quality dogs vs. their division The first action of the NFL season has historically proven a golden...

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 23, 20232 min read
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