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UFC Vegas 32: Cory Sandhagen Vs. T.J. Dillashaw
Given favorable environmental context, Sandhagen's edge striking & our view that repeated failed takedowns traumatized DIllashaw, we...

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 22, 20213 min read


UFC Vegas 31: Miesha Tate vs. Marion Reneau
The current -145 level for Tate's moneyline suggest a 59% implied probability of the win. We see value with the favorite up to about -160...

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 14, 20212 min read


UFC 264: Poirier Vs. McGregor 3 Betting Pick
We explore angles & detail our favorite wager for the UFC 264 main event, the trilogy meeting between Dustin Piorier & Conor McGregor.

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 10, 20212 min read


UFC Fight Night Blaydes vs. Lewis: Playing the Main Event
History says, back the big favorite in this spot, and bet that the end will come in dramatic fashion. We are positioning accordingly...

@WizeOwlSports
Feb 20, 20212 min read


Our Favorite Play on the UFC Fight Night: Overeem Vs. Volkov Main Event
A pretty good swath of history, plus the wisdom of the crowds suggest Overeem vs. Volkov is somewhere between 71-89% likely to end inside...

@WizeOwlSports
Feb 6, 20212 min read


UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Too much is being made of the 'higher caliber' of Anthony "Lionheart" Smith's opponents relative to the names on Devin Clark's resume...

@WizeOwlSports
Nov 28, 20202 min read


UFC 253: Israel Adesanya vs. Paolo Costa
We think Adesanya's length, speed / athleticism, diversity of strikes and counterpunching will ultimately guide The Last Stylebender to..

@WizeOwlSports
Sep 24, 20204 min read


UFC Fight Night: Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic
With odds reflecting the degree of mismatch well, we are passing on taking a side here. Instead, we are willing to bet on Smith's ability to

@WizeOwlSports
Aug 29, 20204 min read


UFC Vegas 7: Ike Villanueva Vs. Jordan Wright
Jordan Wright's natural advantages alone suggest to us his chances of winning are closer to 60% than 50%. As such, we are happy to buy The B

@WizeOwlSports
Aug 22, 20202 min read


UFC 252: Miocic Vs. Cormier 3
Cormier is the slightly better striker, and better wrestler in aggregate. However, Stipe's reach, activity level and takedown defense offer

@WizeOwlSports
Aug 15, 20202 min read


UFC Fight Island 3: Francisco Trinaldo Vs. Jai Herbert
We are taking the flyer on the British UFC newcomer versus the grizzled veteran Brazilian in preliminary action . We concede that our pick f

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 25, 20203 min read


UFC Fight Island 3: Bethe Correia Vs Pannie Kianzad
We see Correia's age and decline, coupled with Kianzad's youth and reach as sufficient to secure the win for Pannie, in a contest th

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 23, 20203 min read


UFC Fight Island 2: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Joseph Benavidez
While we like Figueiredo for the victory, -230 odds are too rich for our blood. Instead we're playing the 'Figueiredo inside the dis

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 18, 20201 min read


UFC Fight Island 2: Joel Alvarez Vs. Joseph Duffy
As far as we can tell, this looks like a solid spot to take a flier on a big (live) dog. Age and reach advantages for Alvarez as well as sig

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 18, 20202 min read


UFC Fight Island 2: Davi Ramos Arman Tsarukyan
As a result of Tsarukyan's youth and Ramos' age, as well as Tsarukyan's natural advantages, we regard the favorite by decision a

@WizeOwlSports
Jul 18, 20202 min read


UFC Rochester: Rafael Dos Anjos Vs. Kevin Lee
Perversely, we have been keen to profit, over the years, from mixed martial artists' unwillingness to ride off into the sunset when that

@WizeOwlSports
May 18, 20194 min read


UFC Fight Night 151: Arjan Bhullar vs. Juan Adams
The card for UFC Fight Night 151, which will be headlined by by a lightweight clash between "Raging" Al Iaqunita and Donald "

@WizeOwlSports
May 4, 20192 min read


UFC 235: Jon Jones vs. Anthony Smith
We like Jones to collect the win in the headline event for UFC 235 Saturday night, and to continue his effort to put the personal foolishnes

@WizeOwlSports
Mar 2, 20193 min read


UFC on ESPN: Francis Ngannou vs. Cain Velasquez
We are looking for Ngannou to continue his bounce-back bid, at Cain's expense Sunday. While Cain Velasquez arguably revolutionized the h

@WizeOwlSports
Feb 16, 20194 min read


UFC 234: Finding Value on Anderson Silva vs. Israel Adesanya
While we expect Israel Adesanya to ultimately collect the win tonight and hasten the legendary Anderson Silva's eventual ride off into t

@WizeOwlSports
Feb 9, 20194 min read
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