A Good Spot for the Road dog: Cleveland Browns +7 -140
We find a couple of compelling reasons to back the Browns to beat the number at the Steelers in NFL 2020-21 Wildcard Round Playoff action, and are betting accordingly.
First, through the lens of history, we note that teams taking less than a touchdown on the road off a win as favorite have been great bets in the NFL post-season, delivering a 44% return on a 44-game sample since 2005. This system has lost money in only four years over this span and is 1-0 so far this season, after the LA Rams upset the Seahawks Saturday.
The Browns are off a slim win versus these same Steelers a week ago. Cleveland was slated as the 10.5 favorite in week 17, as Ben Roethlisberger did not play (rest).
Big Ben will line up behind the Steeler's center this evening, nonetheless, supporting the history-based take reported above, respected power-rankings frameworks, such as the FiveThirtyEight model and ESPN's NFL Football Power Index make the Browns better than six points worse than the Steelers this afternoon. Accordingly, we are comfortable taking the points and getting down on Cleveland.
Happy betting!!
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