Our power rankings work says the Skins at home are no better than a point superior to the Jets in NFL week 11 action. We also observe historical context that favors the road team versus the number Sunday morning. As such, we are backing the Jets cover.
Historically, it has paid to back the road dog when two bad teams get together. In competitions between teams that have each win no more than one out of every three games, on average, the team taking points while away has covered at about a 55% clip since 2003.
Consistent with our thinking, a separate BetLabs-powered system, courtesy of our friends at The Action Network, likewise highlights the Jets ATS Sunday. This approach highlights teams with residual low expectations based on last year's performance.
Specifically, in Sunday or Monday games featuring totals of 50 or less, backing road dogs of less than a touchdown that won fewer than six games last year has proven consistently profitable. This system is 13-8-3 ATS season-to-date.
Happy betting!!