2019 NFL Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts -2.5
Our power rankings work says the Colts are at least a field goal better than the the Jags at home in week 11 action. As such, we are laying the short chalk and backing the home team to beat the number.
Consistent with this indication, we also note that history suggests the present is a tough spot for teams, like Jacksonville, off a BYE week.
From 2003 through week 11 of last season, favorites on 1-4 game losing streaks have gone 83-60-2 ATS (58%) versus teams off at least ten days rest.
Skidding favorites that are expected to beat rested teams by no more than a field goal have submitted an even more impressive, 65%, cover rate over this span.
We also remind our audience that the Colts recent stumbles unfolded after Jacoby Brissett exited Indy's lineup. The rookie QB will be back under Center Sunday morning.