2019 NFL Week 9: Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans -1.5
Our power rankings model pegs the Texans as 4-6 points better than the Jags on a neutral field, such as Wembley Stadium, the host site for this contest. Accordingly, we are laying the slight chalk and backing the favorite for the cover.
Validating the signal from our primary model, we note that favorites have been overwhelmingly profitable bets in regular season games played on neutral territory.
Further, courtesy of our friends at The Action Network, when teams from the same division clash on an unbiased field of play, the favorite has been utterly dominant 9-1 ATS.
Moreover, According to Covers.com and The Action Network, Houston has the support of approaching 60% of the spread betting volume. The Texans' majority public backing is also viewed as consistent with Houston's bid for a cover Sunday, as it has proven profitable to tail consensus picks during weeks 7-12 of the NFL season.