Baltimore Ravens @ Carolina Panthers +3 (-135)
We have grown comfortable with our power rankings framework's play on the Panthers as home dogs facing the Ravens. Our system gives Carolina about a one point advantage this morning, implying plenty of value with Carolina, given the current spread of +3.
Consistent with this pick, we note that teams with a bit of wind beneath their wings have fared well ATS in regular season action.
Relevant variations of this theme proved similarly profitable. For instance, teams that were victorious in three of their last four are 26-14-2 ATS (65%) in their next game when they covered their previous out and are now receiving points from a team off an ATS loss.
Along the same vein, teams that go 3-1 SU in their last four games are 77-58-6 ATS (57%) when taking points from a team that is 2-2 SU in recent action.
Happy betting!!