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NFL Week 7 MNF: New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons

- Photo credit: Jim O'Connor, USA Today Sports

New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons -4 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA October 22, 2018, 5:20PM PDT

Our power ranking framework gives the Falcons at home a 6 to 10 point advantage over the Giants this evening. As such, we are backing the home favs to cover.

Separate from the output of our power rankings model, we also note that Monday Night Football favorites that made the playoffs last year have demonstrated a decided edge versus competition that did not make a post-season appearance last year. Per data from, Pro Football Reference, this cohort is 49-28-5 ATS (64%) overall since 1995 (11-4 ATS in a dome, 3-0-1 in week 7).

Additionally, we have observed that since 2004, week 7 has been the third-worst week of the season to fade the public. Consistent with this generalization, teams backed by at least 50% of spread wagers are 8-4 ATS through 13 games (At present, 73% of spread wagers tracked by The Action Network are down on the Dirty Birdies).

Happy betting!!

#nfl #nfl2018 #nfl2018wk7 #mnf #mnf2018 #giants #falcons

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