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Week 13 Monday Night Football: Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets


Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets +2 (-110)

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

December 5, 2016, 5:30PM PST

Our framework registered 'full house' support for the Jets to cover at home against the Colts this evening. This means both of our two primary (power rankings) factors, as well as each our three supplemental (computer simulation) routines endorse New to York to beat the number. Such signals are 14-6 on the year, including Sunday's 2-1 showing.

But not only are are we highly confident in the home cover, the inputs to our framework unanimously anticipate an outright Jets win this evening.

As such, we are delighted to receive points to back who we perceive to be the stronger team.

Contextual circumstances likewise favor New York ATS. For one, home dogs are 34-21 this season through the first 14 games of week 13 (for a 62% win rate). Moreover, SportsInsights reports only 29% of public spread wagers support New York at present--research validates the profitability of fading fan favorites; see here for details. Also, we note that teams are 17-10-3 ATS following a bye week. Also, consider that the Jets have beat the number in each of the last three out facing the Colts, and in six of the last nine in head-to-head action. New York is also 5-1 ATS in the last half dozen at home versus Indy.

Bottom line: The indications don't get much clearer than this one. Back the Jets to cover. More intrepid bettors might opt for the moneyline.

Happy betting!!

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