The OVER surprised last week with an uncharacteristically strong start to the NFL season -- 9-7, per VegasInsider.com data (we discussed here the tendency in recent years for the UNDER to profit in week 1 as well as over entire seasons). Our work views week 1's gaudy offensive output as an aberration, and anticipates a resumption of normalcy today. Accordingly, we highlight the following six UNDER plays for Sunday.

As a reminder, our totals handicapping methodology is based on a composite of the output of three independent computer simulation routines. In order to justify action, these systems must unanimously endorse a particular outcome, and each indicator must provide a standardized margin of safety.

Happy betting!!

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