December 28 NBA Action: Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit PIstons
Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons -3.0 (-105)
The Palace, Auburn ,Hills, Michigan
December 28, 2016, 4:30PM PST
Our sim work likes the Pistons to cover as hosts to the Bucks this afternoon. Detroit will be Milwaukee's second stop on a four game road trip; the Bucks lost at Washington Monday. Milwaukee is 4-8 ATS this season as the away team (3-8 versus the number as the traveling underdog). Also, consider that the Bucks are 7-14 against the East (including ATS losses to likes of the Nets, Heat, Magic and Wizards), and 7-11 when receiving points in general.
Conversely, Detroit will close out a four game stint at home this afternoon. After a surprising loss to Memphis followed by a closely contested loss to Golden State (in which the Pistons secured the cover as a consolation prize), Detroit looks to have settled in -- as evidenced by the upset of the World Champs Monday. Worth mentioning, Detroit is 10-6 against the betting line playing at The Palace this year, including a 7-5 run laying points at home.
We also note that, after a seven game streak for Milwaukee, the momentum of the head-to-head series seems to have shifted Detroit's way--the Pistons are 3-1 in the last four meetings with the