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December 9 NBA Action: Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks

Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks -3 -120

BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

December 9, 2016, 5:00PM PST

We are picking the Bucks to cover at home versus the Hawks tonight. In addition to being favored by our sim work, betting trends too support the Bucks against the spread. For one, Milwaukee is 7-6 ATS at BMO Harris Bradley Center, while Atlanta is 4-8 versus the number on the road. Further, while the Bucks are an unimpressive 4-4 against the betting line from the position of favorite, Atlanta is a weak 2-4 on the season when receiving points. Also, the Bucks are 10-2 playing after a day off; the Hawks are 2-11 from this spot.

Additionally, our support for the home favorite tonight fits with a macro-level betting trend. Laying less than five points to back the team playing in their own building is 50-40-1 on the year, for a 56% win rate.

Happy betting!!

#nba #nba2016 #hawks #bucks