Our sim work highlights the following five against-the-spread plays for Monday.
Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers +4.5 (-110)
Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 (-110)
Boston Celtics @ Minnesota Timberwolves +2.0 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs -16 (-110)
Toronto Raptors +8.5 (-110) @ LA Clippers
Of note, our work anticipates a strong day for home covers (four of our five picks back the squad playing on their own floor). Per AccuScore's database of final scores and closing spreads, teams are 105-87-6 ATS from the comfort of home so far this year, for almost a 55% win rate, and an even smarter 36-19-4 (better than 65%) over the last seven days. Against this backdrop, our picks make sense, as they merely call for a continuation of prevailing trends.
Happy betting!!