World Series Betting: Window Closing for Chicago
Cleveland Indians @ Chicago Cubs ML -210 u7.0 -130
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
October 30, 2016, 5:08PM PDT
The Cubs find themselves in the unenviable position of being down 3-1 to the Indians on the cusp on game 5 of the World Series. The professional prognosticators at FiveThirtyEight.com make the Indians overwhelming favorites, estimating Cleveland's probability of winning the series to be 85%. This number fits with Las Vegas' expectations, as the Cleveland -400 series price currently available at Bovada.lv translates to an 80% chance the Indians will be crowned champions.
Despite this foreboding backdrop, each of our four go-to computer simulation routines call for Chicago to mount its last stand tonight and to pull out the 'W' in this final game scheduled to be hosted in the Windy City. Intrepid bettors and Cubs fans might want to lay the heavy juice in support of the home team tonight, but the safer play appears to be the under. Low scores prevailed in three of the first four games, and we expect a quality start from the Cubs' ace pitcher, Jon Lester.