Apr 5 NBA Action: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors u224.5 (-101)
Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
April 5, 2016, 7:30PM PDT
Our sim work suggest points to a final aggregate score of 217 when the Warriors host the Timberwolves this evening. Thus, we are backing the under.
Both Minnesota and Golden State sport season-to-date o/u records that exhibit a clear over bias (these two teams' o/u is a combined 83-68-3). However, both have cooled in the scoring department in recent weeks. For instance, the Wolves are riding a three-game under streak, and their under is 8-4 in their last dozen out. Similarly, Golden State's o/u is 1-4 in their last five contests and 2-7 in their last nine out.
Further, the under has covered in four of the last six and in nine of the last twelve meetings between the Golden State and Minnesota.
Bottom Line: Near-term betting trends sync with our sim work in support of the under. Wager accordingly.