Oklahoma City Thunder -3 (-105) @ Houston Rockets u222 (-105)
Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
April 3, 2016 12:35PM PDT
Each of the independent lines that comprise our computer simulation + power rankings framework endorse the Thunder to cover at Toyota Center this afternoon. The composite signal from our model is for the road team by 5, and individual factor readings are dispersed between Houston +3.2 and +7.0. As such, we are comfortable laying the 3 and backing OKC.
Per SportsInisghts, there are about three bets backing the Thunder against the spread for every one for the Rockets. Thus we are alert to the potential that the line might widen prior to tip-off. As such, we advise acting sooner than later on this one.
Separately, as the sim component of our model forecasts a final of 109-104, we are also playing the under (individual point estimates range between 209 and 219).
Consistent with our under play, we observe that the Thunder's over is 21-31 following a winning effort and 3-10 when OKC has seen 2-3 days rest. And while Houston has shown a clear over bias broadly this season, the Rockets over is 1-6 as the home underdog.
Happy betting!!