Mar 30 NBA Action: Atlanta Hawks @ Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks @ Toronto Raptors +1.5 (-103)
Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Canada
March 30, 2016, 4:30PM PDT
With Kyle Lowry omitted from the Raptors line-up, the aggregate signal from our sim work is for Toronto to just barely eke out the home win. If Lowry can start, the odds of a home cover improve meaningfully. As such, we are comfortable siding with the Canada-based club to cover.
As is shown below, the spread for this contest has bounced from favoring the home team, to the road team, to neutral, back to the road team. This most recent move to a new extreme creates opportunity, in our estimation.
With half of ATS wagers backing the Raptors, we see no obvious motivation for the line to shift to more compelling levels for Toronto-backers. As such, we would not wait to lay this wager.
Back Toronto to cover.