Mar 23 NBA Action: Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers u209 (-108)
Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, Ohio
March 23, 2016, 4PM PST
Our simulation work calls for a combined total of 201-202 when the Cavs play host to the Bucks Wednesday afternoon, suggesting an ample margin for under backers.
While neither team has demonstrated a notable season-to-date bias in favor of the over or under, Milwaukee is currently riding a four-game under streak (while Cleveland's O/U is 3-3 in recent play). Further, the Bucks' under is 19-14 when Milwaukee is cast as the road dog. We anticipate a continuation of these trends today.
In further support of our play, Kevin Love is expected to go for Cleveland this afternoon. The Cavs Forward is a top-tier defender, ranking 36th out of 457 qualified players by ESPN's DRPM statistic.
As a source of modest apprehension, we do note though that the over has covered in each of the last four head-to-head meetings between these teams. Nonetheless, we are betting in accordance with the indications from our multi-factor simulation routine, and taking the under.
SportsInsights reports a mere 36% of totals wagers are backing the under. As such, more favorable lines might materialize closer to tip-off.