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  • Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports

Mar 7 NBA Action: Pair Bet on Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

Milwaukee Bucks +7 (-105) @ Chicago Bulls u213 (-105)

United Center, Chicago, Illinois

March 7, 2016, 5:00PM PST

Our multi-pronged sim work forecasts a final score of 102-104 Chicago when the Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks this afternoon. Likewise, our power rankings framework see Chicago as about 5 points better than Milwaukee this evening. Accordingly we are backing both the Bucks to cover, as well as under 213.

While the Bulls are coming off a win/cover at Houston Saturday, Chicago dropped the four preceding games (versus the number). Betting trends suggest a resumption of the Bulls' skid is likely tonight, as, after a win Chicago is 10-20 versus the number this year. The Bulls are also 9-15 ATS when favored at home, 12-22 following a day off and 13-24 facing competiton from the East.

ATS, the Bucks have not been much better than their Central Division rivals lately, having collected just two wins/covers in their last five out. However, Milwaukee is 21-14 following a loss (the Bucks were dealt an 'L' versus the Thunder Sunday), 10-5 in the second game of back-to-backs, and 20-17 facing Eastern Conference opposition.

Betting trends also seem favor the under (albeit modestly). Chicago's O/U record is 13-17 at United Center. Further, the under is 13-10-1 when the Bulls are cast as home favorites. Similarly, Milwaukee's O/U is 16-17 away, and 14-17 when the Bucks are featured as road dogs.

Of some concern though, these teams sport a combined O/U record of 13-8 in intra-division play.

Happy betting!!

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