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Mar 2 NBA Action: Charlotte Hornets @ Philadelphia 76ers


Charlotte Hornets @ Philadelphia 76ers u208 (-105)

Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

March 2, 2016, 4:00PM PST

Our sim work expects a total in the 205 ballpark when Charlotte heads to the City of Brotherly Love this afternoon. Thus, we regard the under as a compelling play for this contest.

The Hornets, much to our chagrin, thrashed the Suns Tuesday, 126-92. There is evidence though that Charlotte's above average output from last night borrowed from tonight's productivity. The Hornets' under, for instance, is 5-1 this season in game following 120+ point performances.

Other Charlotte betting trends likewise validate our under pick. The Hornets O/U is 3-5-1 this year as the road favorite, 3-6 in the second game of back to back sequences and 14-19-2 against the East.

Additionally, since 2012, the under is 5-2 in Hornets/Sixers matchups held in Philly.

On the other hand, the 76ers have demonstrated a bias toward the over this season (Phildelphia's aggregate O/U record is 32-27-1). This tendency is especially pronounced when the Sixers are cast as home dogs, or coming off a loss (both of these circumstances are in play currently). However, Charlotte is the 9th stingiest team in the NBA on the basis of points allowed. And Al Jefferson's return to the active roster only buttresses the Hornet's stopping power. In fact, since Jefferson's return, Charlotte has allowed 100 points or more only once in six outings. As such, we expect the Hornets to contain the scoring of an antsy Sixer squad.

Bottom line: We anticipate that Charlotte's scoring will revert to the mean in the wake of an unusually productive evening versus Phoenix yesterday. We also think a rejuvenated Hornet's D can keep Philly's offensive efforts in check. Back the under.

Happy betting!!

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