Army Black Knights +4.5 (-105) @ Navy Midshipmen
February 20, 2016, 10:30AM PST
Alumni Hall, Annapolis, Maryland
Our simulation work views Navy as about a bucket (2-3 points) better than Army on their home court this afternoon. As such, we are taking the 4.5 points and backing the road dogs to beat the number.
Army is riding a three game win streak and is 4-2 (straight up) in the month of February. Navy, on the other hand, is coming off a loss to Lehigh Wednesday, and is a meager 3-3 on the month. Thus, for what it's worth, momentum favors our pick.
The betting line opened at Navy -5, per OddsShark. The half point contraction since is consistent with an Army cover and gains additional credence given that the line tightened against a backdrop of unwavering support for the favorite (per SportsInsights, 63% of public wagers are backing Navy).
Happy betting!!