Jan 22 NBA Action: Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Charlotte Hornets +5 (-106) @ Orlando Magic
Amway Center, Orlando, Florida
January 22, 2016, 4:00PM PST
The median line estimated by our combination computer simulation and power rankings routines is Orlando -1. Accordingly, we are happy to take the five points and back the Hornets at Amway Center this afternoon.
Orlando is 23-18 versus the number on the season, including an 11-10 record at home. Further, the Magic are 9-8 this year from the position of favorite. However, Orlando is 2-3 ATS in their last five out, a dismal 2-8 in their last ten games played, and 0-5 this year when laying five points or more.
On the other hand, at 4-6 ATS in their last ten games, Charlotte too has been a poor bet of late. However, the Hornets are 7-3 against the betting line this season when cast as underdogs of between 3-7 points.
And while the head-to-head series between the Hornets and Magic has been a virtual toss-up against the spread (of the 26 meetings since 2010, Charlotte covered 14 times vs. Orlando's 12), the Hornets have been dominant at Amway Center (since 2010, Charlotte is 9-3 playing in Orlando).
Further, the Hornets are 10-7 versus the Magic over the last five years when pitted as the underdog.
Bottom line: Betting trends align nicely with our quantative assessment, in support of Charlotte. Take the points and back the road dogs from this spot.