Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs -14 (-105) AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas
December 28, 2015, 7:30PM CST
Our computer simulation and power rankings based forecasts favor San Antonio by 15-16, making a wager on the home team to cover an attractive proposition.
A stunning Christmas day road loss at the Houston Rockets ended an eight game win streak for the Spurs (straight up and versus the number), but we expect San Antonio got back on track at home the next evening with a 15 point win/cover versus Denver that kicked off a four-game home stand.
Minnesota, on the other hand, is riding a three game losing streak absolutely and against the spread, and is a dismal 2-8 ATS in their last ten out. The Timberwolves are 1-3 this season as double-digit underdogs, inlcuding a 25 point loss on December 23rd at the hands of these San Antonio Spurs.
In stark contrast, the Spurs have been featured as a favorite of 10 or more on 13 prior occasions this season. San Antonio has covered ten times from this position.
Since 2010 the Spurs are 12-9 ATS in head-to-head play with the Timberwolves, inlcuding a 6-4 record at home. However, San Antonio has taken the last five meetings.
Bottom line: The numbers and the trends support the Spurs to cover. Laying the double-digit chalk and backing San Antonio.
OddsShark reports an opening line of -14.5, and that 54% of spread wagers are backing the favorite.
Happy betting!!