Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets u191.5
The computer simulation routines included in our NBA handicapping methodology point to a total combined score of 185 or 197 when the Sixers face the Nets at Barclays Center this evening.
Philly averages a league-worst 85 points per game when travelling, while Brooklyn boasts a reasonably stout defense (the Nets rank 12th in defensive efficiency, per TeamRankings.com). We expect the coalescence of these two factors to supress the 76ers offensive output tonight.
Similarly, the Nets rank in the bottom quintile of NBA teams on the basis of average points scored at home, while, surprisingly, Philly's 'D' is top ten when away from Wells Fargo Center. Thus, Brooklyn's efforts to put points on the board will probably likewise be met with resistence.
Factor 3 in the following table adjusts Philly's average score in road games for the strength of the Nets defense, and then adds Brooklyn's home average calibrated to account for the Sixers defense. This approach too suggests substantial value on the UNDER.
As each of our three factors, when compared to the betting total, offer significantly more of a cushion than our five point requisite, 76ers Nets UNDER 191.5 this is an easy play to make.