New Year's Eve NBA Play: Betting Indiana Pacers Team Total vs Miami Heat
Indiana Pacers u96.5 vs Miami Heat
Our dual computer simulation system points to a Pacers score between 92.8 and 94.5.
From a quantitative perspective, Indiana's median score over the 15 games hosted at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season is 90 points. An adjustment to account for the Miami's defense reduces the Pacers point estimate to 87.6 though.
Additionally, so far this season, Indiana has surpassed the 96 point marker only twice -- the Pacers mustered 97 against the decidedly porous defense of the Utah Jazz and, more recently, Indiana posted 110 versus the Lakers (the worst defense in the league by defensive efficiency and points allowed). While limiting opposition is not Miami's hallmark, the Heat rank higher than the Jazz on defensive efficiency (per TeamRankings.com) and 8th on the basis of points given up to their opposition. As such, we anticipate the Pacers scoring pattern today will approximate their aggregate historical tendencies rather than mirroring the exceptional output produced versus Utah and Los Angeles.