Miami Heat +1.5 +102 @ Boston Celtics
Our computer simulation models favor the Heat +1.5 to cover the first game of the Eastern Conference Finals.
Consistent with this forecast, we note that the number three seed has struggled historically in the first game of the Conference Finals. The #3 team is 11-20 SU in Conference Finals openers in the three-point era.
When we expand our historical examination to include teams seeded 1-3 in the Conference Finals game 1's, the sample size expands somewhat, but the aggregate result is similar. Top-seeded teams are 16-33 SU from this position.
Happy betting!!