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  • Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports

NBA Betting Guide: Off the Surprise Loss



The Wizards were upset by the Brooklyn Nets Saturday (sans Kyrie Irving) despite being slated by oddsmakers as one-point road favorites. In their next endeavor, Washington will take 1.5 points as hosts to the Cavaliers Monday. We like the Wiz for the bounce back cover here and are taking the modest chalk.



The angle indicated above has delivered a 20% long-term return on investment, which proved statistically significant at the 95% confidence level.


Rationalizing the success of this system, we expect the betting public's recency bias results in their placing too much credence in the outcome of the last game for teams in this position, particularly for squads that missed the prior postseason (as we think expectations are especially low for such teams). Underdog status creates a low bar for achieving the cover, while the friendlier calls teams tend to receive in their own building also aids their cause.


Happy betting!!


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