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  • Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports

May 11th NBA Action: Dallas Mavericks @ Memphis Grizzlies

Backing Memphis' top-10 defense: Mavs / Grizzlies u227.5

The top two teams in the Southwest Division will face off Tuesday when the Grizzlies host the Dallas Mavericks, marking the third meeting this year between these squads. Memphis' last three games have come in UNDER the betting total, and we think this setup bodes well for UNDER-backers this evening.

Historically, teams hosting their division after a string of two or more UNDERs have indeed tended toward the UNDER.

This really simple system has delivered a 10% long-term return on investment to adherents, and has suffered only four losing seasons since 2004 (including a 19-14 so far this season).

On personnel, Kristaps Porzingis is unavailable for the Mavs Tuesday, as is Maxi Kleber (PF). The former's absence is particularly consequential for the O/U outcome, we believe, as of 28 games this season where the the Latvian big man was unable to go, the UNDER amassed an impressive 18-10 (64%) record. Granted, Dallas is prone to disappointing aggregate scoring in general, as indicated by their 30-38 O/U for the year, however, the tally without Porzingis implies an increased likelihood for lower scores when Dallas is absent their starting Center.

Happy betting!!


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