Two systems compel us to take the points with the Blazers: Portland +15
Since Karl Anthony Towns claimed the three-point shooting trophy at Allstar Weekend, the Wolves are 5-1 SU/ATS. In a rematch of Saturday's action, when the Timberwolves barely covered as 13.5 point favorites, Minnesota is again expected to win by a big margin as hosts to the Portland Trail Blazers Monday. We are backing the big dogs for the cover on the basis of a pair of profitable history-based systems.
Home teams laying double-digits for at least the second consecutive game have proven great fades facing teams that saw post-season action last year.
(Portland lost to Denver 4-2 in the opening round of the 2020-21 playoffs).
This system has been good for a (statistically significant) superlative 21% return on investment since the 2005-06 season, and has suffered a mere two seasons with a cover rate south of 50%. Further, this angle is a near perfect 7-1 ATS so far this year.
In addition to the strong basis for betting against Minnesota, a separate system says back Portland:
Road teams that made the prior post-season and that are taking double-digits after an underdog ATS loss have proven solid bets facing teams off ATS wins.
This latter angle is has likewise delivered a 21% long-term return, including a 4-2 ATS so far this year. This system has also suffered meaningful losses in only two seasons since 2005-06.
Happy betting!!