Backing Wizards cover at red-hot Grizzlies: Washington +5.5
The Wizards just completed an eight-game home stand Tuesday that culminated in a one-point loss to the Clippers. In fact, Washington is riding a four-game losing streak after dropping consecutive games to Boston, Toronto and Brooklyn prior to LA coming to visit.
Saturday the Wizards will face the Grizzlies in Memphis. The boys from Grind City are 15-3 SU most recently, after knocking off Utah last night and San Antonio two days prior. This setup hints that the Wizards are due for the road cover, and we are betting accordingly.
In non-conference NBA action, teams on losing streaks that are hitting the road after playing at least their last four at home have proven solid ATS bets facing opposition on winning streaks.
Backing squads in this position has delivered a 14% return on investment since 2004-05 with only four seasons with a cover rate below 50%. This angle is 2-0 ATS so far this year.
Also favoring the Wizards' effort at FedEx Forum today, we have observed that away teams with four days in between games have covered at a 55% clip, for a 7.5% long-term ROI.
Separately, as of the time of this writing, Memphis has attracted 76% of ATS bets and 78% dollars wagered against the spread. However Sports Insights indicates 88% confidence the spread will tighten from 5.5 to 5. As such, inclined bettors might want to jump on the Wizards sooner than later.
Happy betting!!