Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ Utah Jazz
After dropping consecutive contests at the Warriors Sunday and to these Western Conference Champion Suns in Phoenix Monday, the Jazz are 1-4 SU in their last five out. A shorthanded Utah squad covered at Phoenix, as 12.5 point underdogs, breaking a four-game ATS skid.
We expect the Suns to redouble their efforts Wednesday and collect the win and cover versus the Jazz as 4.5 point road favorites tomorrow. Supporting our thinking, we note that home dogs that made an appearance in the prior postseason and that have won no more than one of their last five SU/ATS have proven solid fades versus teams that likewise participated in the last playoffs.
This angle has delivered a statistically significant 14% return on investment since 2005-06, including a 9-7 ATS run so far this year.
Regarding personnel, the Jazz will have to manage without Rudy Gobert (calf) Wednesday, for the second straight game, and Donovan Mitchell (concussion) is likewise still unavailable. DeAndre Ayton (ankle) and Frank Kamisky (knee) are out for the Suns.
Happy betting!!