Season-to-date record: 35-38-1, 48%
Pistons drop four straight, and we're kicking 'em while they're down: Nets -9
Detroit has taken consecutive losses from the Warriors, Jazz, Suns and Lakers. As a silver lining to bettors though, the Pistons beat the number versus Utah and Lakers. History says the divergent straight up and ATS results Detroit has experienced lately are likely to resolve with the loss versus the number Tuesday. Accordingly, we are laying the chalk with the Nets at Detroit.
Bad teams (i.e. teams that missed the prior post season) that covered at least two of their last three games despite dropping three to five in a row straight up have proven great fades versus their conference.
Betting against teams in this position has registered cover rates below 50% in only two seasons since 2004, has delivered a 16% long-term return on investment and is 2-1 ATS so far this year.
Certainly worth noting, Kevin Durant is not traveling with the Nets, and is not likely to join the team until Friday, after exposure to a team employee that tested positive for covid-19.
Also on the topic of personnel, Detroit recently traded Derrick Rose to the Knicks for Dennis Smith, Jr. and a draft pick. However, Smith is listed as questionable for Tuesday, per the League's covid protocol.
And finally, the Pistons' Delon Wright is likewise listed as questionable, after tweaking and ankle in a 46 minute effort Saturday.