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  • Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports

2021 NBA Opening Day: Defense Optional

The Play: Brooklyn Nets / Milwaukee Bucks o233.5

At better than 57%, the Nets boasted the highest effective field goal percentage in the NBA last year. The Bucks 55% eFG% ranked 5th a season ago. As such, our advocacy for the OVER when these teams match up for the first game of the 2021-22 NBA season probably does not strike readers as a stretch.

Supporting our expectation for a high scoring affair in Milwaukee Tuesday, we note that regular season game 1 meetings between teams in the same conference, but different divisions, have historically tended to exceed aggregate scoring expectations.

Siding with the OVER from this position has delivered an 18% return on investment since the 2005-06 season, with cover rates below 50% in only three of those 16 years.

Happy betting!!


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