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Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports

2021 NBA Action: Perfect System Indicates Two O/U Plays Saturday

The Plays: Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers u222.5 and Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers u230.5

Friday, we highlighted a history-based system that attempts to exploit the betting public's over-optimism regarding aggregate scoring expectations. Specifically, bettors generally tend to position for high scoring affairs in situations featuring very OVER-prone home teams. However, when such teams face opposition for whom the vast majority of games have gone UNDER the total, disappointing aggregate scoring is the end result most of the time.


The UNDER has been good for a 29% long-term return on investment in instances where home teams with 75% or better cover rates for the OVER host squads with at least 75% UNDER rates.


This angle won less than 50% of the time in only three years since 2005-06 and, after running the board yesterday, is 3-0 to kick off the current season.


For Saturday, this system highlights the Hawks and Cavs u222.5 and later, the Suns at the Blazers u230.5. We are backing the UNDER in both spots.


Happy betting!!

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