Backing the emerging preeminent deep threat: Logo Lillard and the Blazers -5 -110

Back to 2017 the Golden State Warriors are a pretty terrible 101-132-1 ATS, for a 43% cover rate and a -16% return on investment. This record includes the current season's 1-4 ATS run, to date.

Conversely, over the same timeframe, the Blazers are a profit-turning 123-110-10 (53%) versus the number. Further, Portland is 80-59-6 (58%) as the favorite, and more impressive still, 27-17-1 (61%) as the road favorite.

Thus, the Warriors and the Trail Blazers are trending in opposite directions, certainty from a betting perspective, but also Damien Lillard's performance last year in particular suggests he is in pursuit of Steph Curry's claim to the 'best longball shooter' title.

40 footers aside, we expect recent team-level tendencies to persist Sunday and are betting on Portland to cover the five points of chalk.

In addition to the aforementioned supportive statistics, we note broad history-based validation for our expectation for the ATS win for the road team.

Teams off big losses in the midst of home stands have proven solid fades in the past.

This system has delivered a 12% ROI since 2005, including only five losing seasons (out of the last 15), and a 3-1 ATS run this season.

Happy betting!!