Backing the short home favorites: Orlando Magic -1.5

We interrupt the NFL Conference Championship preparations to highlight an opportunity in the realm of round ball. The Bucs and Chiefs will kick off at Arrowhead Stadium after 3:40pm Sunday. Some twenty minutes later and 1,230 miles away, the Hornets and Magic will tipoff at Orlando's Amway Center. We suggest backing the Magic Sunday, on the basis of a consistently profitable history-based system.

ATS performance tends to normalize (in certain spots anyway) following stints where squads beat the number but lose outright, perhaps as bookies shade lines for teams on profitable runs versus the betting line.

Fading teams facing their conference after covering at least two of their last three but losing 3-5 in a row straight up has been good for a 12% return on investment since 2003, with only four losing seasons over the examination period.

This system is 2-0 ATS so far this year.

The Hornets dropped their last four games but beat the number twice at Toronto before taking a spanking at the Bulls' hands must recently. As such, a play on Orlando is triggered for this system.

Happy betting!!