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  • Writer's picture@WizeOwlSports

Apr 7 NBA Action: Several Chances to Fade Home Dogs Sunday

San Antonio Spurs -8.5

Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5

Washington Wizards -4

The strategy of betting against NBA underdogs at home late in the regular season has proven profitable over the long-term, as is indicated below.

This aporoach has been especially reliable this year, generating a 24% return on investment (ROI). Despite this success though, 'Fading home dogs' went 2-3 ATS Friday, as the Spurs and Celtics covered as expected, but Toronto, Miami and New Orleans all lost outright laying chalk.

The system right-footed itself Saturday though, on the back of an easy cover for Philly as a double-digit favs at Chicago, and pulled to an impressive 33-19 ATS so far this year.  

We expect the return of the good times to endure through the closing days of the regular NBA season, and are siding with history and backing the Spurs, Thunder and Wizards to cover Sunday.

Further, while the line is not available as of the time of this writing, barring the prospect of "load management" for the most relevant cogs on the Jazz roster, it is highly likely that Utah will give points to the Laker at Staples Center this evening. We would also support Utah to beat the number under such a scenario.

Happy betting!!

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