Oklahoma City @ Portland -3.5
Moda Center, Portland, OR
March 7, 2019, 7:30PM PST
The same system that argues for Milwaukee to recover from their two-game skid and collect the win and cover versus Indiana this afternoon also calls for the Blazers to bounce back from the lackluster finish to their seven-game road trip (as 5.5 point favorites, Portland lost by nine at Memphis Tuesday, in the last game of an extended road trip)--see here for additional details on the system. Accordingly, we are siding with the home team for the cover in Portland tonight.
Consistent with our play, we note several team-level trends in favor of the Trail Blazers this evening:
At 37-27, Portland is the third best team in the NBA ATS this year,
The Blazers are 14-10 versus the number this season after dropping a game (#7 in the League),
Portland is 4-1 ATS in the last five at home versus Oklahoma City,
The Rose City crew is also 21-11 ATS at home overall this year (#3),
But is only 5-7 ATS facing the Northwest Division,
AND the Thunder have covered the last three facing the Blazers
Happy betting!!