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Feb 25 NBA Action: Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

Photo: Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images 


Milwaukee Bucks -7 @ Chicago Bulls

United Center, Chicago, Illinois

February 25, 2019, 5:00 PM PDT

Good NBA teams tend to cover on the road facing bad teams late in the regular season. The strategy of backing squads with 65%+ SU win rates to beat the number at teams with no better than 35% SU win rates during the last third of the season has been good for a 14% return on investment since 2005. This system is 2-1 ATS so far this season.

The Bucks -7 Monday fits the bill for this strategy, and we are backing the deer. In addition to being favored by this setup, we also note that Milwaukee is the second-best team in the League ATS, and is 13-8-2 ATS laying chalk on the road. Chicago, on the other hand, is 27-31-2 ATS overall, including an 11-15 stint as home dog.

Our computer simulation work likewise endorses the road cover this afternoon.

[Note: the betting line dropped four points, from the opening level of around 11 to 7 on news Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed on the injury report as doubtful; we remain committed.]

Happy betting!!

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