New York Knicks +6.5 (-108) @ Washington Wizards
We think New York is meeting a reeling Washington team at the right time for the road cover. Accordingly, we are taking the Knicks and the points.
Season-to-date record on published
ATS & O/U picks: 15-8-1 (65%)
In-line with our thinking, we have observed that bad teams off bad losses (like his year's Wizards) have been solid fades. In particular, teams that, on average, lose by between 10 and 15 points and that dropped their last game by a 20-30 point margin have covered at only a 38% rate since 2005.
Additionally, circumstances surrounding the Knicks' activity of late is also consistent with the idea of the road cover. Teams that have won two of their last four SU/ATS, including a cover in their most recent game, and that are on the second game of a road stand have been good bets, delivering a 15% ROI in through first 41 games of season since 2005.
Happy betting!!