Oct 19 NBA Action: Atlanta Hawks @ Memphis Grizzlies
- Photo credit: Kevin C. Cox, Getty Images
Atlanta Hawks +7.5 -102 @ Memphis Grizzlies
The average/median forecast from our computer simulation framework is for a Grizzlies win by 3. As such, the Hawks plus better than two scores is our play.
We also note that teams taking points on the road after a loss have been profitable wagers through the first quarter of the season. This contingent has been good for a 6% ROI since 2004.
Of particular interest, the profitability of this trend more then doubles when we zero in on teams playing their second game of the season. Traveling dogs off an 'L' have covered game 2 59% of the time (in 63 instances) since 2004, for an ROI of 15%.