Oct 18 NBA Action: LA Lakers @ Portland Trail Blazers
LA Lakers @ Portland Trail Blazers u223.5
Moda Center, Portland, Oregon
October 18, 2018, 7:30PM PDT
Our sim work points to a combined total in the area of 210 when play concludes at the Blazers' Moda Center this evening. With the line as high as 224 at some shops (such as Bovada.lv) as of the time of this writing, our forecasts imply a ton of value with the UNDER. We are obliged to wager accordingly.
Supporting our play, we note that UNDER has been nominally profitable, historically, in games with high totals (i.e. north of 220) where teams from the Western Conference's Pacific Division visit conference opposition (133-127-2 since 2004). However, when the betting total increases in such games by between 0.5 and 2 points, the UNDER's hit rate swells to 62%, with an ROI of 22%.
The total for Lakers / Blazers opened at 222, per The Action Network.